Toledo
Mid-American
2024 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2024
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 2 | vs Massachusetts | 23–38 | 17.9–39.3 | 6.4 |
| Week 3 | @ Mississippi State | 17–41 | 30.4–21.9 | 32.5 |
| Week 4 | @ Western Kentucky | 26–21 | 27.8–30.0 | 7.2 |
| Week 6 | vs Miami (OH) | 20–30 | 23.9–25.9 | 8.0 |
| Week 7 | @ Buffalo | 30–15 | 20.3–26.5 | 21.3 |
| Week 8 | @ Northern Illinois | 6–13 | 27.3–25.4 | 8.8 |
| Week 9 | vs Bowling Green | 41–26 | 22.7–29.6 | 21.9 |
| Week 10 | @ Eastern Michigan | 28–29 | 22.2–30.0 | 6.8 |
| Week 12 | vs Central Michigan | 10–37 | 20.4–33.3 | 14.1 |
| Week 13 | vs Ohio | 24–7 | 22.5–26.9 | 21.4 |
| Week 14 | @ Akron | 21–14 | 20.6–31.3 | 17.6 |
| Week 1 | vs Pittsburgh | 46–48 | 24.8–23.7 | 3.1 |