2024 Week 2 · Sep 7, 2024, 7:30 PM · Glass Bowl
Massachusetts @ Toledo
Predicted scoreConfident
Massachusetts
17.9
Toledo
39.3
Toledo win probability: 91%
Margin (Toledo − Massachusetts): 21.4 (80% range 0 to 42)
Total: 57.2 (80% range 34 to 82)
Actual: Massachusetts 23 – Toledo 38 (margin error 6.4, total error 3.8)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | 38 | 0.70% |
| 10 | 31 | 0.69% |
| 10 | 35 | 0.69% |
| 14 | 38 | 0.69% |
| 17 | 38 | 0.69% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.