Toledo
Mid-American
2016 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2016
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | @ Arkansas State | 10–31 | — | — |
| Week 3 | vs Fresno State | 17–52 | — | — |
| Week 5 | @ BYU | 55–53 | — | — |
| Week 6 | @ Eastern Michigan | 20–35 | — | — |
| Week 7 | vs Bowling Green | 35–42 | — | — |
| Week 8 | vs Central Michigan | 17–31 | — | — |
| Week 9 | vs Ohio | 31–26 | — | — |
| Week 10 | @ Akron | 17–48 | — | — |
| Week 11 | @ Northern Illinois | 24–31 | — | — |
| Week 12 | vs Ball State | 19–37 | — | — |
| Week 13 | @ Western Michigan | 55–35 | — | — |
| Week 1 | vs App State | 31–28 | — | — |