Toledo

Mid-American

2026 rating history

Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.

Upcoming forecasts

Week	Opponent	Predicted score	Win prob
Week 8	vs Western Michigan	25.8–27.1	53%
Week 10	@ Sacramento State	12.2–38.3	95%
Week 11	vs Massachusetts	19.7–32.8	80%
Week 12	vs Bowling Green	17.8–32.0	82%
Week 13	@ Ohio	26.0–26.0	50%

Past prediction accuracy — 2026

Week	Opponent	Actual	Predicted	Margin error
Week 1	@ Michigan State	30–20	27.0–23.2	6.1
Week 2	vs Central Connecticut	10–63	—	—
Week 3	vs Temple	48–49	22.1–31.5	8.3
Week 4	vs San Diego State	16–41	22.1–25.8	21.3
Week 5	@ Ball State	24–39	15.2–36.3	6.1
Week 6	vs Buffalo	23–8	18.1–35.6	32.5
Week 7	@ Eastern Michigan	14–34	22.5–31.5	11.0