Toledo
Mid-American
2019 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2019
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | @ Kentucky | 38–24 | — | — |
| Week 4 | @ Colorado State | 35–41 | — | — |
| Week 5 | vs BYU | 21–28 | — | — |
| Week 6 | vs Western Michigan | 24–31 | — | — |
| Week 7 | @ Bowling Green | 20–7 | — | — |
| Week 8 | @ Ball State | 52–14 | — | — |
| Week 9 | vs Eastern Michigan | 34–37 | — | — |
| Week 11 | vs Kent State | 33–35 | — | — |
| Week 12 | vs Northern Illinois | 31–28 | — | — |
| Week 13 | @ Buffalo | 49–30 | — | — |
| Week 14 | @ Central Michigan | 49–7 | — | — |