Toledo
Mid-American
2022 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2022
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 2 | vs Massachusetts | 10–55 | — | — |
| Week 3 | @ Ohio State | 77–21 | — | — |
| Week 4 | @ San Diego State | 17–14 | — | — |
| Week 5 | vs Central Michigan | 17–38 | — | — |
| Week 6 | @ Northern Illinois | 32–52 | — | — |
| Week 7 | vs Kent State | 31–52 | — | — |
| Week 8 | @ Buffalo | 34–27 | — | — |
| Week 9 | @ Eastern Michigan | 24–27 | — | — |
| Week 11 | vs Ball State | 21–28 | — | — |
| Week 12 | vs Bowling Green | 42–35 | — | — |
| Week 13 | @ Western Michigan | 20–14 | — | — |
| Week 14 | @ Ohio | 7–17 | — | — |
| Week 1 | vs Liberty | 19–21 | — | — |