Toledo
Mid-American
2021 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2021
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 2 | @ Notre Dame | 32–29 | — | — |
| Week 3 | vs Colorado State | 22–6 | — | — |
| Week 4 | @ Ball State | 12–22 | — | — |
| Week 5 | @ Massachusetts | 7–45 | — | — |
| Week 6 | vs Northern Illinois | 22–20 | — | — |
| Week 7 | @ Central Michigan | 26–23 | — | — |
| Week 8 | vs Western Michigan | 15–34 | — | — |
| Week 10 | vs Eastern Michigan | 52–49 | — | — |
| Week 11 | @ Bowling Green | 17–49 | — | — |
| Week 12 | @ Ohio | 23–35 | — | — |
| Week 13 | vs Akron | 14–49 | — | — |
| Week 1 | vs Middle Tennessee | 31–24 | — | — |