Toledo
Mid-American
2014 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2014
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 2 | vs Missouri | 49–24 | — | — |
| Week 3 | @ Cincinnati | 58–34 | — | — |
| Week 4 | vs Ball State | 23–34 | — | — |
| Week 5 | vs Central Michigan | 28–42 | — | — |
| Week 6 | @ Western Michigan | 19–20 | — | — |
| Week 7 | @ Iowa State | 37–30 | — | — |
| Week 9 | vs Massachusetts | 35–42 | — | — |
| Week 11 | @ Kent State | 20–30 | — | — |
| Week 12 | @ Northern Illinois | 27–24 | — | — |
| Week 13 | vs Bowling Green | 20–27 | — | — |
| Week 14 | @ Eastern Michigan | 16–52 | — | — |
| Week 1 | @ Arkansas State | 44–63 | — | — |