Toledo
Mid-American
2018 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2018
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 3 | vs Miami | 49–24 | — | — |
| Week 4 | vs Nevada | 44–63 | — | — |
| Week 5 | @ Fresno State | 49–27 | — | — |
| Week 6 | vs Bowling Green | 36–52 | — | — |
| Week 7 | @ Eastern Michigan | 28–26 | — | — |
| Week 8 | vs Buffalo | 31–17 | — | — |
| Week 9 | @ Western Michigan | 24–51 | — | — |
| Week 10 | vs Ball State | 13–45 | — | — |
| Week 11 | @ Northern Illinois | 38–15 | — | — |
| Week 12 | @ Kent State | 34–56 | — | — |
| Week 13 | vs Central Michigan | 13–51 | — | — |
| Week 1 | vs Florida International | 35–32 | — | — |