2026 Week 7 · Oct 17, 2026, 4:00 AM · Rynearson Stadium
Toledo @ Eastern Michigan
Predicted scoreLikely
Toledo
31.5
Eastern Michigan
22.8
Eastern Michigan win probability: 29%
Margin (Eastern Michigan − Toledo): -8.7 (80% range -29 to 11)
Total: 54.3 (80% range 31 to 79)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 17 | 0.79% |
| 31 | 17 | 0.73% |
| 24 | 14 | 0.71% |
| 28 | 24 | 0.62% |
| 28 | 17 | 0.60% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:55:30 PM | -8.7 | 54.3 | 29% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:05:39 PM | -8.7 | 54.3 | 29% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:30:11 PM | -8.7 | 54.3 | 29% |