Predicted scoreLikely
Temple
20.6
Toledo
33.3
Toledo win probability: 79%
Margin (Toledo − Temple): 12.7 (80% range -7 to 34)
Total: 54.0 (80% range 31 to 79)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 24 | 0.69% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.68% |
| 14 | 24 | 0.64% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.64% |
| 17 | 28 | 0.57% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:54:42 PM | 12.8 | 54.0 | 79% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:04:39 PM | 12.7 | 53.9 | 79% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:27:07 PM | 12.7 | 54.0 | 79% |