2024 Week 9 · Oct 26, 2024, 7:30 PM · Glass Bowl
Bowling Green @ Toledo
Predicted scoreLean
Bowling Green
22.7
Toledo
29.6
Toledo win probability: 67%
Margin (Toledo − Bowling Green): 6.9 (80% range -14 to 28)
Total: 52.2 (80% range 30 to 76)
Actual: Bowling Green 41 – Toledo 26 (margin error 21.9, total error 14.8)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.78% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.70% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.65% |
| 14 | 21 | 0.64% |
| 21 | 24 | 0.64% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.