2024 Week 12 · Nov 13, 2024, 12:00 AM · Glass Bowl
Central Michigan @ Toledo
Predicted scoreLikely
Central Michigan
20.4
Toledo
33.3
Toledo win probability: 79%
Margin (Toledo − Central Michigan): 12.9 (80% range -7 to 34)
Total: 53.7 (80% range 31 to 78)
Actual: Central Michigan 10 – Toledo 37 (margin error 14.1, total error 6.7)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 31 | 0.78% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.69% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.68% |
| 14 | 31 | 0.66% |
| 10 | 31 | 0.66% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.