Sam's Scores

Central Michigan

Mid-American

2026202520242023202220212020201920182017201620152014
2026 rating history

Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.

Upcoming forecasts
WeekOpponentPredicted scoreWin prob
Week 8vs Miami (OH)26.8–26.750%
Week 10@ Eastern Michigan23.9–28.261%
Week 11vs Sacramento State14.1–37.093%
Week 12@ Buffalo26.2–24.746%
Week 13@ Ball State25.7–30.160%
Past prediction accuracy — 2026
WeekOpponentActualPredictedMargin error
Week 1@ New Mexico38–733.6–21.018.4
Week 2vs Colgate10–13——
Week 3vs Wyoming10–2423.8–22.815.0
Week 4@ Miami52–344.0–9.614.6
Week 5vs Akron17–4122.2–29.716.5
Week 6@ Ohio31–1427.2–24.614.4
Week 7vs Western Michigan21–1427.5–25.04.5