2026 Week 10 · Nov 4, 2026, 5:00 AM · Ford Field (neutral site)
Central Michigan @ Eastern Michigan
Predicted scoreLean
Central Michigan
28.2
Eastern Michigan
23.9
Eastern Michigan win probability: 39%
Margin (Eastern Michigan − Central Michigan): -4.4 (80% range -24 to 16)
Total: 52.1 (80% range 30 to 76)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.78% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.77% |
| 21 | 17 | 0.67% |
| 31 | 17 | 0.64% |
| 24 | 14 | 0.64% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Darker = more likely. The dot marks the predicted score; the dashed line is where home and away are tied.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:56:12 PM | 0.8 | 55.8 | 52% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:06:12 PM | 0.8 | 55.7 | 52% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:31:43 PM | 0.8 | 55.7 | 52% |
| 9/4/2026, 10:49:13 AM | 0.8 | 55.7 | 52% |
| 9/6/2026, 2:04:41 PM | 0.6 | 55.7 | 52% |
| 9/8/2026, 6:02:59 PM | 0.5 | 55.1 | 51% |
| 9/11/2026, 12:56:58 PM | -0.0 | 52.1 | 50% |
| 9/13/2026, 2:59:26 PM | -3.5 | 50.7 | 41% |
| 9/20/2026, 2:41:01 PM | -3.6 | 50.7 | 41% |
| 9/27/2026, 12:00:28 PM | -3.7 | 50.7 | 41% |
| 9/27/2026, 3:39:04 PM | -3.7 | 50.7 | 41% |
| 10/1/2026, 5:32:52 PM | -7.8 | 51.4 | 32% |
| 10/4/2026, 3:47:24 PM | -7.1 | 52.7 | 33% |
| 10/11/2026, 4:42:59 PM | -6.3 | 52.8 | 34% |
| 10/18/2026, 2:23:43 PM | -4.4 | 52.1 | 39% |