2026 Week 4 · Sep 26, 2026, 10:30 PM · Hard Rock Stadium
Central Michigan @ Miami
Predicted scoreConfident
Central Michigan
11.3
Miami
41.3
Miami win probability: 97%
Margin (Miami − Central Michigan): 30.0 (80% range 10 to 51)
Total: 52.6 (80% range 31 to 76)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | 38 | 0.95% |
| 10 | 38 | 0.91% |
| 7 | 45 | 0.86% |
| 7 | 31 | 0.86% |
| 10 | 45 | 0.86% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:54:51 PM | 29.9 | 52.5 | 97% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:05:02 PM | 30.1 | 52.5 | 98% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:28:10 PM | 30.0 | 52.6 | 97% |