2026 Week 8 · Oct 24, 2026, 4:00 AM · Kelly/Shorts Stadium
Miami (OH) @ Central Michigan
Predicted scoreToss-up
Miami (OH)
26.8
Central Michigan
23.3
Central Michigan win probability: 41%
Margin (Central Michigan − Miami (OH)): -3.6 (80% range -24 to 17)
Total: 50.1 (80% range 28 to 73)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 17 | 0.95% |
| 21 | 24 | 0.74% |
| 24 | 14 | 0.74% |
| 21 | 17 | 0.70% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.68% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:55:44 PM | -3.6 | 50.1 | 41% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:05:47 PM | -3.6 | 50.1 | 41% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:30:53 PM | -3.6 | 50.1 | 41% |