2026 Week 8 · Oct 24, 2026, 4:00 AM · Kelly/Shorts Stadium
Miami (OH) @ Central Michigan
Predicted scoreToss-up
Miami (OH)
26.8
Central Michigan
26.7
Central Michigan win probability: 50%
Margin (Central Michigan − Miami (OH)): -0.0 (80% range -21 to 21)
Total: 53.5 (80% range 31 to 78)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.81% |
| 24 | 21 | 0.69% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.68% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.63% |
| 31 | 24 | 0.61% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Darker = more likely. The dot marks the predicted score; the dashed line is where home and away are tied.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:55:44 PM | -3.6 | 50.1 | 41% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:05:47 PM | -3.6 | 50.1 | 41% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:30:53 PM | -3.6 | 50.1 | 41% |
| 9/4/2026, 10:47:46 AM | -3.6 | 50.1 | 41% |
| 9/6/2026, 2:04:00 PM | -3.6 | 50.1 | 41% |
| 9/8/2026, 6:02:06 PM | -3.6 | 50.5 | 41% |
| 9/11/2026, 12:56:00 PM | -0.8 | 53.5 | 48% |
| 9/13/2026, 2:58:49 PM | -0.8 | 54.0 | 48% |
| 9/20/2026, 2:40:07 PM | -0.8 | 54.1 | 48% |
| 9/27/2026, 11:59:24 AM | -0.5 | 54.1 | 49% |
| 9/27/2026, 3:37:52 PM | -0.5 | 54.1 | 49% |
| 10/1/2026, 5:32:04 PM | -0.9 | 53.2 | 48% |
| 10/4/2026, 3:46:53 PM | 3.4 | 54.6 | 58% |
| 10/11/2026, 4:42:09 PM | 1.9 | 54.0 | 54% |
| 10/18/2026, 2:23:11 PM | -0.0 | 53.5 | 50% |