2026 Week 12 · Nov 18, 2026, 5:00 AM · UB Stadium
Central Michigan @ Buffalo
Predicted scoreToss-up
Central Michigan
24.5
Buffalo
26.0
Buffalo win probability: 54%
Margin (Buffalo − Central Michigan): 1.5 (80% range -18 to 21)
Total: 50.5 (80% range 28 to 75)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 24 | 0.77% |
| 21 | 24 | 0.76% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.74% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.68% |
| 17 | 17 | 0.66% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:56:43 PM | 0.2 | 49.4 | 51% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:06:43 PM | 0.2 | 49.5 | 51% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:33:15 PM | 1.5 | 50.5 | 54% |