2026 Week 3 · Sep 19, 2026, 5:00 PM · Kelly/Shorts Stadium
Wyoming @ Central Michigan
Predicted scoreToss-up
Wyoming
22.9
Central Michigan
23.5
Central Michigan win probability: 52%
Margin (Central Michigan − Wyoming): 0.6 (80% range -18 to 21)
Total: 46.3 (80% range 24 to 69)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 17 | 0.80% |
| 17 | 14 | 0.80% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.78% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.77% |
| 14 | 17 | 0.73% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:54:32 PM | 0.7 | 46.7 | 52% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:04:38 PM | 0.8 | 46.4 | 52% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:27:06 PM | 0.6 | 46.3 | 52% |