2026 Week 7 · Oct 17, 2026, 4:00 AM · Kelly/Shorts Stadium
Western Michigan @ Central Michigan
Predicted scoreToss-up
Western Michigan
27.0
Central Michigan
23.8
Central Michigan win probability: 42%
Margin (Central Michigan − Western Michigan): -3.3 (80% range -24 to 17)
Total: 50.8 (80% range 28 to 75)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.79% |
| 31 | 24 | 0.71% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.70% |
| 17 | 17 | 0.67% |
| 24 | 21 | 0.67% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:55:29 PM | -3.3 | 50.7 | 42% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:05:39 PM | -3.2 | 50.7 | 42% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:30:08 PM | -3.3 | 50.8 | 42% |