2026 Week 6 · Oct 10, 2026, 4:00 AM · Peden Stadium
Central Michigan @ Ohio
Predicted scoreLikely
Central Michigan
21.1
Ohio
30.9
Ohio win probability: 73%
Margin (Ohio − Central Michigan): 9.8 (80% range -10 to 31)
Total: 52.0 (80% range 30 to 76)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 21 | 24 | 0.73% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.73% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.70% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.68% |
| 17 | 28 | 0.66% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:55:21 PM | 9.8 | 52.0 | 73% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:05:29 PM | 9.8 | 52.0 | 73% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:29:09 PM | 9.8 | 52.0 | 73% |