Ohio

Mid-American

2026 rating history

Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.

Upcoming forecasts

Week	Opponent	Predicted score	Win prob
Week 8	vs Eastern Michigan	20.2–30.7	75%
Week 10	@ Akron	19.5–31.9	79%
Week 11	@ Miami (OH)	25.2–25.8	52%
Week 12	vs Ball State	19.9–34.3	82%
Week 13	vs Toledo	26.0–26.0	50%

Past prediction accuracy — 2026

Week	Opponent	Actual	Predicted	Margin error
Week 1	@ Nebraska	49–21	30.6–20.0	17.4
Week 2	vs Jacksonville State	27–29	25.6–28.8	1.3
Week 3	@ South Alabama	41–36	28.9–28.4	4.5
Week 4	vs Stonehill	7–35	—	—
Week 5	@ Kent State	10–13	20.0–32.7	9.7
Week 6	vs Central Michigan	14–31	24.6–27.2	14.4
Week 7	@ Sacramento State	7–48	14.8–34.2	21.6