Predicted scoreLikely
Ohio
30.6
Akron
19.1
Akron win probability: 23%
Margin (Akron − Ohio): -11.5 (80% range -31 to 8)
Total: 49.7 (80% range 27 to 73)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 14 | 0.76% |
| 31 | 17 | 0.73% |
| 31 | 14 | 0.70% |
| 17 | 17 | 0.69% |
| 38 | 17 | 0.68% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:56:09 PM | -11.5 | 49.7 | 23% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:06:11 PM | -11.5 | 49.7 | 23% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:31:41 PM | -11.5 | 49.7 | 23% |