Predicted scoreLikely
Ohio
31.9
Akron
19.5
Akron win probability: 21%
Margin (Akron − Ohio): -12.4 (80% range -32 to 7)
Total: 51.4 (80% range 28 to 76)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | 17 | 0.77% |
| 24 | 14 | 0.70% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.70% |
| 31 | 14 | 0.70% |
| 28 | 17 | 0.68% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Darker = more likely. The dot marks the predicted score; the dashed line is where home and away are tied.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:56:09 PM | -11.5 | 49.7 | 23% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:06:11 PM | -11.5 | 49.7 | 23% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:31:41 PM | -11.5 | 49.7 | 23% |
| 9/4/2026, 10:49:37 AM | -11.5 | 49.7 | 23% |
| 9/6/2026, 2:04:41 PM | -11.4 | 49.7 | 23% |
| 9/8/2026, 6:02:57 PM | -10.7 | 50.2 | 25% |
| 9/11/2026, 12:56:56 PM | -7.7 | 53.9 | 31% |
| 9/13/2026, 2:59:27 PM | -8.5 | 52.2 | 29% |
| 9/20/2026, 2:41:00 PM | -8.5 | 52.2 | 29% |
| 9/27/2026, 12:00:27 PM | -6.7 | 52.2 | 34% |
| 9/27/2026, 3:39:02 PM | -6.7 | 52.2 | 34% |
| 10/1/2026, 5:32:50 PM | -8.6 | 52.4 | 30% |
| 10/4/2026, 3:47:22 PM | -7.7 | 52.4 | 31% |
| 10/11/2026, 4:43:28 PM | -8.2 | 53.0 | 30% |
| 10/18/2026, 2:23:42 PM | -12.4 | 51.4 | 21% |