2026 Week 11 · Nov 10, 2026, 5:00 AM · Yager Stadium
Ohio @ Miami (OH)
Predicted scoreToss-up
Ohio
25.8
Miami (OH)
25.2
Miami (OH) win probability: 48%
Margin (Miami (OH) − Ohio): -0.6 (80% range -21 to 19)
Total: 51.1 (80% range 28 to 75)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 21 | 24 | 0.77% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.74% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.73% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.71% |
| 24 | 21 | 0.69% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Darker = more likely. The dot marks the predicted score; the dashed line is where home and away are tied.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:56:31 PM | -0.4 | 49.1 | 49% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:06:26 PM | -0.4 | 49.1 | 49% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:32:25 PM | -0.4 | 49.1 | 49% |
| 9/4/2026, 10:50:23 AM | -0.4 | 49.1 | 49% |
| 9/6/2026, 2:05:13 PM | -0.4 | 49.1 | 49% |
| 9/8/2026, 6:04:03 PM | -0.3 | 48.5 | 49% |
| 9/11/2026, 12:57:36 PM | -1.5 | 54.7 | 46% |
| 9/13/2026, 2:59:59 PM | -2.7 | 54.8 | 43% |
| 9/20/2026, 2:41:32 PM | -2.7 | 54.8 | 43% |
| 9/27/2026, 12:01:09 PM | -2.3 | 54.7 | 44% |
| 9/27/2026, 3:39:17 PM | -2.3 | 54.7 | 44% |
| 10/1/2026, 5:33:21 PM | 1.0 | 54.5 | 53% |
| 10/4/2026, 3:47:46 PM | -0.1 | 53.1 | 50% |
| 10/11/2026, 4:43:56 PM | -1.5 | 52.0 | 46% |
| 10/18/2026, 2:24:02 PM | -0.6 | 51.1 | 48% |