2026 Week 11 · Nov 10, 2026, 5:00 AM · Yager Stadium
Ohio @ Miami (OH)
Predicted scoreToss-up
Ohio
24.7
Miami (OH)
24.3
Miami (OH) win probability: 49%
Margin (Miami (OH) − Ohio): -0.4 (80% range -20 to 20)
Total: 49.1 (80% range 27 to 72)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 17 | 0.74% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.73% |
| 17 | 14 | 0.72% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.72% |
| 21 | 24 | 0.70% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:56:31 PM | -0.4 | 49.1 | 49% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:06:26 PM | -0.4 | 49.1 | 49% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:32:25 PM | -0.4 | 49.1 | 49% |