Ohio
Mid-American
2023 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2023
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | @ San Diego State | 20–13 | 29.3–24.2 | 1.9 |
| Week 2 | @ Florida Atlantic | 10–17 | 28.6–26.6 | 9.0 |
| Week 3 | vs Iowa State | 7–10 | 28.1–19.2 | 11.9 |
| Week 4 | @ Bowling Green | 7–38 | 20.8–28.6 | 23.2 |
| Week 6 | vs Kent State | 17–42 | 16.8–35.7 | 6.1 |
| Week 7 | @ Northern Illinois | 23–13 | 23.0–28.8 | 15.8 |
| Week 8 | vs Western Michigan | 17–20 | 19.3–32.7 | 10.4 |
| Week 9 | vs Miami (OH) | 30–16 | 20.5–26.9 | 20.3 |
| Week 11 | @ Buffalo | 10–20 | 20.2–26.0 | 4.2 |
| Week 12 | vs Central Michigan | 20–34 | 21.9–32.2 | 3.7 |
| Week 13 | @ Akron | 14–25 | 17.5–32.5 | 4.0 |
| Week 1 | vs Georgia Southern | 21–41 | 29.3–30.0 | 19.3 |