2023 Postseason · Dec 16, 2023, 4:00 PM · Brooks Stadium (SC) (neutral site)

Georgia Southern @ Ohio

Predicted scoreToss-up

Georgia Southern

29.3

Ohio

30.0

Ohio win probability: 52%

Margin (Ohio − Georgia Southern): 0.7 (80% range -21 to 21)

Total: 59.4 (80% range 35 to 86)

Actual: Georgia Southern 21 – Ohio 41 (margin error 19.3, total error 2.6)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.