Predicted scoreLean
Ohio
26.0
Buffalo
20.2
Buffalo win probability: 35%
Margin (Buffalo − Ohio): -5.8 (80% range -25 to 14)
Total: 46.2 (80% range 24 to 69)
Actual: Ohio 20 – Buffalo 10 (margin error 4.2, total error 16.2)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 17 | 0.89% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.84% |
| 24 | 14 | 0.74% |
| 31 | 17 | 0.73% |
| 21 | 17 | 0.71% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.