2023 Week 7 · Oct 14, 2023, 8:00 PM · Huskie Stadium
Ohio @ Northern Illinois
Predicted scoreLean
Ohio
28.8
Northern Illinois
23.0
Northern Illinois win probability: 36%
Margin (Northern Illinois − Ohio): -5.8 (80% range -26 to 14)
Total: 51.8 (80% range 28 to 76)
Actual: Ohio 13 – Northern Illinois 23 (margin error 15.8, total error 15.8)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | 17 | 0.73% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.70% |
| 24 | 14 | 0.69% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.69% |
| 31 | 24 | 0.68% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.