Northern Illinois

Mountain West

2026 rating history

Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.

Upcoming forecasts

Week	Opponent	Predicted score	Win prob
Week 8	vs Hawai'i	25.4–25.9	51%
Week 9	@ UNLV	33.9–17.2	14%
Week 10	@ San José State	28.5–20.9	31%
Week 11	vs Nevada	26.9–23.5	42%
Week 12	@ North Dakota State	27.7–12.5	14%
Week 13	vs UTEP	19.6–27.2	69%

Past prediction accuracy — 2026

Week	Opponent	Actual	Predicted	Margin error
Week 1	@ Iowa	40–0	37.8–11.0	13.2
Week 2	vs Illinois State	28–24	—	—
Week 3	@ Arizona	42–17	37.7–13.0	0.4
Week 4	@ Georgia State	35–14	28.0–24.8	17.8
Week 6	vs Air Force	28–7	28.2–22.2	15.0
Week 7	@ Wyoming	41–23	24.7–21.2	14.6