Northern Illinois
Mountain West
2021 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2021
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | @ Georgia Tech | 21–22 | — | — |
| Week 2 | vs Wyoming | 50–43 | — | — |
| Week 3 | @ Michigan | 63–10 | — | — |
| Week 5 | vs Eastern Michigan | 20–27 | — | — |
| Week 6 | @ Toledo | 20–22 | — | — |
| Week 7 | vs Bowling Green | 26–34 | — | — |
| Week 8 | @ Central Michigan | 38–39 | — | — |
| Week 10 | @ Kent State | 52–47 | — | — |
| Week 11 | vs Ball State | 29–30 | — | — |
| Week 12 | @ Buffalo | 27–33 | — | — |
| Week 13 | vs Western Michigan | 42–21 | — | — |
| Week 14 | vs Kent State | 23–41 | — | — |
| Week 1 | @ Coastal Carolina | 47–41 | — | — |