Northern Illinois
Mountain West
2025 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2025
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 2 | @ Maryland | 20–9 | 29.8–20.3 | 1.6 |
| Week 4 | @ Mississippi State | 38–10 | 31.6–21.0 | 17.4 |
| Week 5 | vs San Diego State | 6–3 | 22.5–25.3 | 5.8 |
| Week 6 | vs Miami (OH) | 25–14 | 22.7–23.6 | 11.9 |
| Week 7 | @ Eastern Michigan | 16–10 | 25.9–28.8 | 8.9 |
| Week 8 | @ Ohio | 48–21 | 28.4–18.5 | 17.1 |
| Week 9 | vs Ball State | 7–21 | 22.0–28.7 | 7.3 |
| Week 11 | @ Toledo | 42–3 | 29.4–18.8 | 28.5 |
| Week 12 | @ Massachusetts | 3–45 | 20.0–29.8 | 32.2 |
| Week 13 | vs Western Michigan | 35–19 | 25.0–21.9 | 12.9 |
| Week 14 | vs Kent State | 35–31 | 19.4–29.8 | 14.4 |