2025 Week 14 · Nov 28, 2025, 5:00 PM · Huskie Stadium
Kent State @ Northern Illinois
Predicted scoreLikely
Kent State
19.4
Northern Illinois
29.8
Northern Illinois win probability: 75%
Margin (Northern Illinois − Kent State): 10.4 (80% range -10 to 31)
Total: 49.3 (80% range 27 to 72)
Actual: Kent State 35 – Northern Illinois 31 (margin error 14.4, total error 16.7)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 24 | 0.78% |
| 10 | 24 | 0.75% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.70% |
| 10 | 28 | 0.69% |
| 7 | 24 | 0.68% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.