2025 Week 8 · Oct 18, 2025, 7:30 PM · Peden Stadium
Northern Illinois @ Ohio
Predicted scoreLikely
Northern Illinois
18.5
Ohio
28.4
Ohio win probability: 74%
Margin (Ohio − Northern Illinois): 9.9 (80% range -10 to 30)
Total: 47.0 (80% range 26 to 70)
Actual: Northern Illinois 21 – Ohio 48 (margin error 17.1, total error 22.0)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | 24 | 0.92% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.83% |
| 14 | 31 | 0.75% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.74% |
| 17 | 21 | 0.73% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.