Northern Illinois
Mountain West
2024 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2024
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 2 | @ Notre Dame | 14–16 | 36.9–14.0 | 24.9 |
| Week 4 | vs Buffalo | 23–20 | 20.3–30.3 | 12.9 |
| Week 5 | @ NC State | 24–17 | 24.3–28.2 | 10.8 |
| Week 6 | vs Massachusetts | 20–34 | 19.0–35.6 | 2.6 |
| Week 7 | @ Bowling Green | 7–17 | 27.1–26.7 | 10.4 |
| Week 8 | vs Toledo | 13–6 | 25.4–27.3 | 8.8 |
| Week 9 | @ Ball State | 25–23 | 20.2–31.8 | 13.7 |
| Week 11 | @ Western Michigan | 28–42 | 25.8–25.0 | 14.8 |
| Week 12 | vs Akron | 16–29 | 18.7–30.8 | 0.9 |
| Week 13 | @ Miami (OH) | 20–9 | 27.3–20.5 | 4.2 |
| Week 14 | vs Central Michigan | 16–24 | 19.6–29.7 | 2.1 |
| Week 1 | @ Fresno State | 20–28 | 32.0–24.8 | 15.2 |