2024 Week 13 · Nov 20, 2024, 1:00 AM · Yager Stadium
Northern Illinois @ Miami (OH)
Predicted scoreLean
Northern Illinois
20.5
Miami (OH)
27.3
Miami (OH) win probability: 67%
Margin (Miami (OH) − Northern Illinois): 6.8 (80% range -13 to 27)
Total: 47.9 (80% range 27 to 71)
Actual: Northern Illinois 9 – Miami (OH) 20 (margin error 4.2, total error 18.9)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 24 | 0.88% |
| 14 | 21 | 0.77% |
| 21 | 24 | 0.76% |
| 10 | 21 | 0.75% |
| 17 | 17 | 0.72% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.