2024 Week 11 · Nov 7, 2024, 12:00 AM · Waldo Stadium
Northern Illinois @ Western Michigan
Predicted scoreToss-up
Northern Illinois
25.0
Western Michigan
25.8
Western Michigan win probability: 52%
Margin (Western Michigan − Northern Illinois): 0.8 (80% range -20 to 21)
Total: 50.7 (80% range 28 to 75)
Actual: Northern Illinois 42 – Western Michigan 28 (margin error 14.8, total error 19.3)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 21 | 24 | 0.76% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.73% |
| 17 | 17 | 0.69% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.68% |
| 14 | 17 | 0.67% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.