2024 Week 7 · Oct 12, 2024, 7:30 PM · Doyt L. Perry Stadium

Northern Illinois @ Bowling Green

Predicted scoreToss-up

Northern Illinois

26.7

Bowling Green

27.1

Bowling Green win probability: 51%

Margin (Bowling Green − Northern Illinois): 0.4 (80% range -20 to 21)

Total: 53.8 (80% range 31 to 78)

Actual: Northern Illinois 17 – Bowling Green 7 (margin error 10.4, total error 29.8)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.