2024 Week 8 · Oct 19, 2024, 7:30 PM · Huskie Stadium
Toledo @ Northern Illinois
Predicted scoreToss-up
Toledo
25.4
Northern Illinois
27.3
Northern Illinois win probability: 54%
Margin (Northern Illinois − Toledo): 1.8 (80% range -18 to 22)
Total: 52.7 (80% range 30 to 77)
Actual: Toledo 13 – Northern Illinois 6 (margin error 8.8, total error 33.7)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.80% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.71% |
| 17 | 21 | 0.61% |
| 14 | 24 | 0.60% |
| 31 | 31 | 0.58% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.