2024 Week 2 · Sep 7, 2024, 7:30 PM · Notre Dame Stadium

Northern Illinois @ Notre Dame

Predicted scoreConfident

Northern Illinois

14.0

Notre Dame

36.9

Notre Dame win probability: 93%

Margin (Notre Dame − Northern Illinois): 22.9 (80% range 3 to 43)

Total: 50.8 (80% range 28 to 74)

Actual: Northern Illinois 16 – Notre Dame 14 (margin error 24.9, total error 20.8)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.