Notre Dame

FBS Independents

2026 rating history

Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.

Upcoming forecasts

Week	Opponent	Predicted score	Win prob
Week 9	@ Navy	14.6–34.3	90%
Week 10	vs Miami	23.0–29.1	65%
Week 11	vs Boston College	12.6–38.4	95%
Week 12	vs SMU	20.1–35.6	83%
Week 13	@ Syracuse	15.5–36.6	91%

Past prediction accuracy — 2026

Week	Opponent	Actual	Predicted	Margin error
Week 1	vs Wisconsin	13–41	14.5–32.3	10.2
Week 2	vs Rice	0–52	6.4–45.7	12.7
Week 3	vs Michigan State	10–27	14.6–38.3	6.7
Week 4	@ Purdue	10–49	15.3–41.0	13.3
Week 5	@ North Carolina	26–37	15.3–33.9	7.6
Week 6	vs Stanford	7–58	8.0–41.1	17.9
Week 7	@ BYU	28–24	22.4–27.7	9.3