Notre Dame
FBS Independents
2024 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2024
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | @ Texas A&M | 13–23 | 25.6–23.5 | 12.2 |
| Week 2 | vs Northern Illinois | 16–14 | 14.0–36.9 | 24.9 |
| Week 3 | @ Purdue | 7–66 | 21.0–32.7 | 47.3 |
| Week 4 | vs Miami (OH) | 3–28 | 12.7–35.9 | 1.9 |
| Week 5 | vs Louisville | 24–31 | 21.4–33.0 | 4.6 |
| Week 7 | vs Stanford | 7–49 | 10.5–39.5 | 13.0 |
| Week 8 | @ Georgia Tech | 13–31 | 18.0–32.8 | 3.2 |
| Week 9 | @ Navy | 14–51 | 17.3–30.7 | 23.6 |
| Week 11 | vs Florida State | 3–52 | 14.3–34.4 | 28.9 |
| Week 12 | vs Virginia | 14–35 | 13.6–36.5 | 1.9 |
| Week 13 | vs Army | 14–49 | 14.8–29.5 | 20.3 |
| Week 14 | @ USC | 35–49 | 22.7–27.2 | 9.5 |
| Week 1 | vs Indiana | 17–27 | 14.9–39.2 | 14.4 |
| Week 1 | @ Georgia | 10–23 | 29.5–23.6 | 18.9 |
| Week 1 | @ Penn State | 24–27 | 26.4–26.9 | 2.5 |
| Week 1 | vs Ohio State | 34–23 | 27.2–25.2 | 9.0 |