2024 Week 12 · Nov 16, 2024, 8:30 PM · Notre Dame Stadium
Virginia @ Notre Dame
Predicted scoreConfident
Virginia
13.6
Notre Dame
36.5
Notre Dame win probability: 93%
Margin (Notre Dame − Virginia): 22.9 (80% range 3 to 43)
Total: 50.1 (80% range 28 to 73)
Actual: Virginia 14 – Notre Dame 35 (margin error 1.9, total error 1.1)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | 31 | 0.90% |
| 10 | 38 | 0.88% |
| 7 | 38 | 0.85% |
| 10 | 31 | 0.83% |
| 7 | 35 | 0.75% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.