Virginia

ACC

2026 rating history

Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.

Upcoming forecasts

Week	Opponent	Predicted score	Win prob
Week 8	vs Duke	25.9–26.0	51%
Week 9	@ Wake Forest	32.8–21.0	23%
Week 11	vs California	19.9–30.4	75%
Week 12	vs North Carolina	25.2–25.0	50%
Week 13	@ Virginia Tech	27.0–28.4	53%

Past prediction accuracy — 2026

Week	Opponent	Actual	Predicted	Margin error
Week 1	vs NC State	8–34	23.6–27.2	22.3
Week 2	vs Norfolk State	3–59	—	—
Week 3	vs West Virginia	38–27	21.6–30.7	20.1
Week 4	vs Delaware	3–42	15.7–33.6	21.1
Week 5	@ Florida State	38–7	27.4–27.0	30.6
Week 6	vs Syracuse	25–28	21.2–30.0	5.9
Week 7	@ SMU	23–13	31.6–22.4	0.8