Virginia
ACC
2025 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2025
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | vs Coastal Carolina | 7–48 | 20.0–29.8 | 31.2 |
| Week 2 | @ NC State | 35–31 | 26.4–25.1 | 2.7 |
| Week 4 | vs Stanford | 20–48 | 20.2–31.5 | 16.7 |
| Week 5 | vs Florida State | 38–46 | 27.8–27.4 | 8.4 |
| Week 6 | @ Louisville | 27–30 | 30.5–24.8 | 8.7 |
| Week 8 | vs Washington State | 20–22 | 22.6–34.0 | 9.4 |
| Week 9 | @ North Carolina | 16–17 | 21.8–31.6 | 8.8 |
| Week 10 | @ California | 21–31 | 24.7–29.6 | 5.1 |
| Week 11 | vs Wake Forest | 16–9 | 22.3–28.4 | 13.1 |
| Week 12 | @ Duke | 17–34 | 30.4–26.6 | 20.8 |
| Week 14 | vs Virginia Tech | 7–27 | 22.4–31.8 | 10.5 |
| Week 15 | vs Duke | 27–20 | 28.9–27.8 | 5.9 |
| Week 1 | @ Missouri | 7–13 | 31.5–20.5 | 17.0 |