Virginia
ACC
2024 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2024
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 2 | @ Wake Forest | 30–31 | 29.6–24.6 | 6.0 |
| Week 3 | vs Maryland | 27–13 | 31.7–27.2 | 9.6 |
| Week 4 | @ Coastal Carolina | 24–43 | 20.2–27.7 | 11.5 |
| Week 6 | vs Boston College | 14–24 | 27.2–28.3 | 8.9 |
| Week 7 | vs Louisville | 24–20 | 30.6–25.3 | 1.3 |
| Week 8 | @ Clemson | 48–31 | 33.3–22.1 | 5.8 |
| Week 9 | vs North Carolina | 41–14 | 28.7–28.2 | 26.5 |
| Week 11 | @ Pittsburgh | 19–24 | 28.7–22.7 | 11.0 |
| Week 12 | @ Notre Dame | 35–14 | 36.5–13.6 | 1.9 |
| Week 13 | vs SMU | 33–7 | 31.7–22.1 | 16.4 |
| Week 14 | @ Virginia Tech | 37–17 | 29.8–21.0 | 11.2 |