Virginia
ACC
2023 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2023
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | @ Tennessee | 49–13 | 38.5–17.7 | 15.2 |
| Week 2 | vs James Madison | 36–35 | 27.6–25.4 | 1.2 |
| Week 3 | @ Maryland | 42–14 | 31.4–23.6 | 20.2 |
| Week 4 | vs NC State | 24–21 | 28.6–23.6 | 2.0 |
| Week 5 | @ Boston College | 27–24 | 27.7–26.4 | 1.7 |
| Week 8 | @ North Carolina | 27–31 | 33.6–20.5 | 17.1 |
| Week 9 | @ Miami | 29–26 | 32.4–24.9 | 4.5 |
| Week 10 | vs Georgia Tech | 45–17 | 27.5–27.5 | 28.0 |
| Week 11 | @ Louisville | 31–24 | 33.9–19.9 | 7.0 |
| Week 12 | vs Duke | 27–30 | 31.4–22.5 | 11.9 |
| Week 13 | vs Virginia Tech | 55–17 | 28.2–29.4 | 39.1 |