Virginia
ACC
2016 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2016
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 2 | @ Oregon | 44–26 | — | — |
| Week 3 | @ UConn | 13–10 | — | — |
| Week 4 | vs Central Michigan | 35–49 | — | — |
| Week 5 | @ Duke | 20–34 | — | — |
| Week 7 | vs Pittsburgh | 45–31 | — | — |
| Week 8 | vs North Carolina | 35–14 | — | — |
| Week 9 | vs Louisville | 32–25 | — | — |
| Week 10 | @ Wake Forest | 27–20 | — | — |
| Week 11 | vs Miami | 34–14 | — | — |
| Week 12 | @ Georgia Tech | 31–17 | — | — |
| Week 13 | @ Virginia Tech | 52–10 | — | — |