Virginia
ACC
2026 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Upcoming forecasts
| Week | Opponent | Predicted score | Win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 3 | vs West Virginia | 22.6–29.2 | 66% |
| Week 4 | vs Delaware | 15.8–36.4 | 91% |
| Week 5 | @ Florida State | 27.5–24.8 | 43% |
| Week 6 | vs Syracuse | 20.1–31.5 | 77% |
| Week 7 | @ SMU | 30.8–21.8 | 29% |
| Week 8 | vs Duke | 27.4–30.0 | 56% |
| Week 9 | @ Wake Forest | 24.8–25.2 | 51% |
| Week 11 | vs California | 19.7–31.7 | 78% |
| Week 12 | vs North Carolina | 20.6–29.4 | 72% |
| Week 13 | @ Virginia Tech | 24.4–29.3 | 62% |
Past prediction accuracy — 2026
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | vs NC State | 8–34 | 23.6–27.2 | 22.3 |