2026 Week 9 · Oct 31, 2026, 4:00 AM · Allegacy Federal Credit Union Stadium
Virginia @ Wake Forest
Predicted scoreToss-up
Virginia
25.2
Wake Forest
24.8
Wake Forest win probability: 49%
Margin (Wake Forest − Virginia): -0.4 (80% range -21 to 20)
Total: 50.0 (80% range 27 to 73)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 17 | 0.75% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.67% |
| 17 | 17 | 0.65% |
| 24 | 21 | 0.64% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.63% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:56:08 PM | -0.4 | 49.9 | 49% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:06:01 PM | -0.4 | 49.9 | 49% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:31:08 PM | -0.4 | 50.0 | 49% |