Predicted scoreConfident
Delaware
15.8
Virginia
36.4
Virginia win probability: 91%
Margin (Virginia − Delaware): 20.7 (80% range 0 to 41)
Total: 52.2 (80% range 30 to 76)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | 31 | 0.92% |
| 10 | 38 | 0.81% |
| 17 | 38 | 0.76% |
| 14 | 38 | 0.73% |
| 7 | 24 | 0.72% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:54:57 PM | 20.7 | 52.4 | 91% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:04:50 PM | 20.8 | 52.4 | 91% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:27:50 PM | 20.7 | 52.2 | 91% |